Today, we here at Source Gaming are doing something a little different. We will be discussing our thoughts on several rumors. These rumors are not confirmed information. Instead, we will be discussing if we think if and when these rumors will come true.
The Next Nintendo Direct
Summary: Nintendo has confirmed that there will be another direct before the end of the year. Some people have claimed it will come next week, while others believe it will come later — possibly in December. Either way, Nintendo did confirm there are some titles that they have not announced that will release before the business year. Therefore, the next Nintendo Direct could be substantial.
I think we’ll see a Direct late November, after Black Friday as a General Direct. I expect it’ll briefly touch upon the December releases for NA/Europe/Japan but otherwise be about 2016 releases, Amiibo, and possible DLC (New Smash Character DLC anyone?)
I think that the 3rd week of November would be the ideal target for Nintendo. First of all, it would allow them to cover any special releases/announcements just before the Black Friday/Christmas season kicks off. It would also provide good timing for an update on Smash DLC, since November 21st was the day of release in North America and the other regions followed shortly after. I would be incredibly surprised if a direct appeared in December, as that would begin cutting into potential holiday profits. As for the content, I believe it will mostly be updates on DLC and postponed games such as Star Fox Zero. I think we get one or two ‘mid-sized’ surprises like we did with Majora’s Mask 3DS, but I’m not convinced we’ll see any really big announcements until 2016.
I think we might see a Nintendo Direct in mid-November. If Nintendo has announcements for Black Friday (like a special bundle, price drop or a new downloadable game) then it would want to announce those before the adverts get leaked. Like Arcaira, I believe that most of the content will be DLC (Triforce Heroes, Smash, possibly Splatoon and Mario Maker) and updates on games we know about. Project Guard and Robot could be shown off in a more proper form, as they are still on the financial meeting notes.
Worldwide Nintendo Directs have occurred more often in December (2012 and 2013) than in November (2014). I don’t necessarily think a Direct has to happen before Black Friday. Although a November Nintendo Direct is very possible, I expect the next Nintendo Direct to happen during the first week of December and will discuss games and content releasing in the fourth quarter of Nintendo’s fiscal year.
I personally believe that we will get a Nintendo direct at the November. This is mainly because of what Arcaira said; I believe it will coincide with the anniversary of Super Smash Bros for Wii U although not necessarily the US launch. The Japanese launch was the last one to come out and so if it coincides with this date then it will be 1 year after the game has come out for all major areas. Not to mention that the development team is Japanese so they are probably following the Japanese dates. As for the content I don’t expect much in the way of software. Another Mario wave of amiibo and the remaining DLC amiibos for Smash; DLC for Super Mario Maker and Triforce Heroes are also a given at this point as is Twilight Princess HD. We might get Pikmin 4 shown for the first time or maybe a new 3DS game but it won’t be anything coming in this fiscal year. Then we will get updates on many games we already know, especially #FE and Hyrule Warriors Legends which come out soonish in Japan.
With a direct confirmed as coming for this year it’s really just a matter of “when” it will come. While I think a November direct is more likely, I wouldn’t fully rule out it dropping in early December. They’ll probably want to mostly focus on their 2016 game lineup, but the holiday period is so important that they’re going to want to highlight anything major that’s dropping in time for the holiday season. We’ve also unofficially seen the Lucas Amiibo so we’re due an official announcement of that shortly.
Twilight Princess HD & eShop Leaks
Summary: The Wii U is very open. From the numerous security exploits, NWPlayer123 and zhuowei datamined the Nintendo eShop servers itself to discover that The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess HD is an unused name file, among over 80 other unannounced titles. In addition, there has been numerous sightings of an unidentifiable Link render.
It’s hard to deny the evidence. Given Nintendo’s words, I believe this may be a world wide December release to further tide the gap until Zelda Wii U comes out. I’d put it no later than March however.
It makes sense that they would remaster Twilight Princess, but in a lot of ways I feel that Nintendo has been pumping out way too many Zeldas. I mentioned it in the Upcoming Nintendo games discussion, so it might be a rehash for our dedicated fans. While I enjoyed Triforce Heroes, I feel that the amount of Zelda remakes and releases have been too close together and is starting to make the series less special. The major positive point that I can see from all these re-releases is that it’s nice to have access to almost all the Zeldas with just the Wii U/ 3DS for the new players.
Anyway, as for the rumor– since it’s already on the eShop, then I think a release could be soon, possibly late November or early December. I believe it would be announced in the next Nintendo Direct.
These rumors make a lot of sense to me. The Zelda Wii U team previously mentioned that they had played around with HD versions of games when trying to find a decent art style, and so it is not outside the realm of reason to think Twilight Princess had that initial treatment, given it’s somewhat unique and dark art style. Twilight Princess has also been highly regarded, so it would be a decent way to tide over fans. As for the rest of the eShop leaks, I also think it is plausible. It has been well known that hackers have been able to extract patches off of the eShop early, and that they generally have their foot in the door. The full list of games allegedly leaked also seems very realistic, with nothing jumping out as being fake or ambitious, specially with the E3 announcement of DS games being added.
A relatively low-cost release of one of the most highly regarded games of all time in a time where Nintendo is really starved for any sort of release for the winter holiday makes sense, and Twilight Princess HD does hit all of the criteria. I’m not sure if it’s what the fans want, necessarily, but Nintendo doesn’t really have a lot to offer.
Data-mining has been the most reliable way information has been leaked, so I’m inclined to believe this rumor is true. Furthermore, other eShop games that were found through data-minging have been confirmed. An HD remake of Twilight Princess makes sense because Nintendo has been making remakes of most of the major 3D Zelda games. The Video Game Sales Wiki estimates that total sales for Twilight Princess are around 8 million, so an HD remake of the game makes sense.
Twilight Princess HD is a given at this point. It will be announced soon as well. What is interesting is that it is listed in the Japanese eshop but not in the US or European one. With Hyrule Warriors Legends launching in January/February time for Japan I do not expect multiple Zelda titles to launch so close together, so I actually expect Japan will get this first in December. Possibly late December, just before Christmas time. Twilight Princess on Gamecube launched in December so it is possible. Then the rest of the world will get it in February time, kind of like with Majora’s Mask. The lack of any other game listed in the eshop that was not a Virtual Console game says to me that we should not expect any other ‘new’ games in 2015.
With all the recent HD remasters of the 3D Zelda games, I don’t think anyone is truly surprised that a Twilight Princess HD is around the corner. Zelda games are more often than not masterpieces, and I think it’s grand that Nintendo are allowing us the opportunity to play these games with the best visuals possible while still maintaining their original identities. Majora’s Mask on the 3DS was actually announced in November of 2014 and released the following February, which would line up nicely with Twilight Princess also. Of course, Skyward Sword HD will probably bookend this period of Zelda HD remasters.
Shovel Knight in Smash
Summary: Over a couple months ago, Liam Roberston (Tamaki) heard from a credible source that Shovel Knight was going to be in Smash. After verifying his source, PushDustIn decided to report on the rumor on Source Gaming. Some time has passed since the rumor went live, but the status of Shovel Knight in Smash is ambiguous as he has not been confirmed nor ‘deconfirmed’ at this point in time.
(Note: Tamaki had approved of this summary.)
I personally don’t know whether or not it’s true. The source from where it came is credible and definitely in a position in which they’d conceivably able to obtain such knowledge, but it’s common sense to wait and see how it pans out. Yacht Club has been suspiciously evasive about directly denying whether or not it’s true; even completely dodging the question at PAX during interviews. That certainly strikes me as odd, but again, I’ll believe it when I see some kind of definitive proof.
I still support it, as there are certain facts that have yet to really be disputed. I don’t think this is one rumor that can really be deadlined, Shovel Knight is clearly being given special attention from Nintendo, like the Shovel Knight Amiibo YCG is making/selling, so having Shovel Knight be in Smash would be a huge step for Indy Gaming, and I’d love to see it happen.
Did you ever hear rumors in high school? Sometimes they would be exaggerated, but usually they were based on some fact. Cartman might not have actually punched Kyle, but they were very close to it during their screaming match with each other. Put simply, I still believe in the Shovel Knight rumor even though it’s been over a couple of months. I’ve verified Tamaki’s source, and there is still reason to believe Shovel Knight is coming as a DLC character. Information like this usually doesn’t come from nowhere, so I think it could still play out. I personally don’t really care for Shovel Knight in Smash…as I think he lacks the icon status of other third party characters, and is unknown in Japan…so if it doesn’t end up becoming true I’ll actually be a little relieved.
I’ve heard many iterations of this rumour, and so far there hasn’t been anything that has convinced me that it is plausible. The biggest thing Shovel Knight had going for him was the amiibo, but by that logic Inklings, Chibi-Robo, Toad and Tom Nook are also equally plausible candidates. I understand that Shovel Knight is a good game and sold really well in North America, but I just feel like his character is too new and low-impact still. He’s only been in one game, and that hasn’t even been released in Japan. There are so many other classic third party characters, that while unlikely overall, have a way higher likelihood than Shovel Knight.
I don’t believe it. I never did, and nothing has come up that’s made me change my mind. I don’t really mind if he does or doesn’t get in, though.
First, let’s review some facts about Shovel Knight. Shovel Knight has only sold about 700,000, according to Yacht Club Games, the game has yet to be released in Japan, and most other commonly-requested characters have been in titles that have sold at least a million units. Given that, Shovel Knight doesn’t make sense as a new addition to the roster, especially as a standalone purchase. This rumor has only gained traction because the person who reported the rumor has some credibility. However, that alone is insufficient to give this rumor any substantial weight. Furthermore, the original source stated in August that fans would find out if the rumor was true or not within a month or two, yet it has been over two months since then, leading me to believe that this rumor is dead.
I disagree that Yacht Club’s actions are suspicious. The “suspicious actions” are nothing more than confirmation bias (which is not unique with rumors). People then to look into thing that “confirm” the rumor when, in fact, the events are unrelated. For example, when the amiibo website listed the Shovel Knight amiibo as compatible with Super Smash Brothers for Wii U, many thought that this was proof that Shovel Knight was going to be playable. However, the website had other error such as Zero Suit Samus being compatible with Duck Tales Remastered and the Chibi Robo and Toad amiibos also being compatible with Super Smash Bros for Wii U. Likewise, Yacht Club Game’s actions may be simple PR rather than avoiding any discussion about his “inevitable” inclusion in Smash.
I am in a weird place with this rumour. From what we all know about the development of Super Smash Bros and Sakurai in general, Shovel Knight should not have any chance to get into Smash. But yet, I do believe this rumour. This is probably because I trust in what Push and Tamaki say and have no reason to doubt their source. Will I get Shovel Knight? Yes, I love the game. Will I be accepting of his inclusion? It is hard to say. If there is a good reason for why Shovel Knight was chosen then sure. I like to believe that NCL are publishing the game in Japan and making it a Nintendo exclusive. Yacht Club Games are being coy about their Japan publisher which is weird and when doing research on this publisher I realized that no console has been confirmed in Japan for Shovel Knight. Yacht Club have not said anything on the subject and the general assumption is that it will come to the same consoles as in the West because why would it not? But NCL like this game, enough to apparently approach Yacht Club with the amiibo offer so it would not surprise me if their relationship was a good one. We also do not know Sakurai’s view on the character. It may be that Sakurai himself really enjoyed Shovel Knight and wanted to put him in the game. If NCL are publishing the game then i see this as a Roy in melee situation and it is simply advertising. Otherwise I do not think he should be in over other, more suitable, 3rd party choices.
As they say, there’s no smoke without fire, I do genuinely think that there’s a reason to believe that Shovel Knight could be on the way. Due to the nature of it, the Shovel Knight rumour isn’t one that’s going to die until all of the DLC has been revealed, though this is one rumour that I sincerely hope pans out to be false. This really is just a case of ‘wait and see’.
A “Smashing” announcement in a Splatoon Direct
Summary: RogersBase was informed by a reliable source that there was going to be a “Smashing” announcement at the end of a mini-Splatoon direct on October 23rd, 2015. RogersBase has never confirmed that it was going to be Inklings in Smash. However, many fans interpreted that Inklings were going to be included in Smash due to the nature of the announcement. While the data for the direct and the “Smashing Announcement” has passed, there are still some fans who believe that Inklings are coming to Smash in the form of DLC.
(Note: RogersBase had approved of this summary.)
At this point, I think the Splatoon Direct was fake and isn’t happening. I also don’t think at this point Inkling was even worked on….yet. Given the HUGE sales of Splatoon though, it wouldn’t surprise me to see them as DLC later to further promote a huge new IP for them.
My opinion on the Inklings is a ‘Yes, but…’ one. Given Splatoon’s global success and first party status, I think they’re very likely for Smash, and it would be smart for Nintendo to ride on their popularity while it is still peaking. That said, I am unsure the credibility of this specific instance of the rumour. Saying that a highly-popular, highly-demanded first party character might get in is low-hanging fruit. The base likelihood of this happening is already so high that it is a relatively low risk guess compared to say, Shovel Knight. So yes I believe the Inklings have a good chance of getting in, but I won’t believe they’re in until I see concrete evidence.
I agree with Arcaira. I do think this rumor has the potential of playing out for similar reasons I stated in my Shovel Knight response. The information is from a supposedly credible source that has a history with RogersBase, so I could see it still playing out. Inklings were the most liked newcomer character on BluePikmin11’s Individual Character Poll, and their overall popularity and recognition among gaming fans would make them an easy contender to join the battle.
I think it’s very possible that Inklings are in Smash, but I don’t think Rogersbase’s source (if he had one) really knew anything. Of course, this statement is exactly the sort of statement that protects my own “credibility” no matter what the outcome, so I suppose I’m being slightly hypocritical here, but regardless, I tend to discredit most rumors anyway.
Although there is talk that Splatoon could receive another big update, the game will likely not receive another Direct. Game specific Directs discuss the game as a whole and act as a way to promote new titles. Thus, the information about a large update would likely come through a standard Nintendo Direct rather than a Splatoon specific one. Also, like the Shovel Knight rumor, the timeframe for this rumor to be true has since passed. I do think the Inklings have a strong chance to be included in Super Smash Bros for Wii U/3DS, but I think this rumor is false nonetheless.
I myself am firmly in the camp that does not think the Inklings will be in Super Smash Bros for Wii U and 3DS. I do think they will be in Smash 5 but my reasoning is not because Nintendo want to hold them off to have a big franchise. Instead, it is because I believe the 3DS cannot handle the Inklings in the way I believe Sakurai would want to represent them. I did my own Dream Smashers article on this so I read that if you want my full opinion. As for this rumour it just was not true. Some sort of misinformation must have happened with Roger’s source. Maybe he felt confident because of all of the data-mining and speculation done by Nikki before this rumour came out.
I’ve spoken to several different sources about the Inklings rumour and am of the mindset that no one was intentionally being deceitful about what they knew. Clearly the time for the direct announcement has passed which does hurt this, and of course as more time goes on, the more unlikely this will be to have panned out. Nevertheless, Inklings were characters I saw as being likely regardless of the rumour and I still maintain that they are among the most likely characters to be added.
Mains: Yoshi (64), Game and Watch (Melee), Wario (Brawl), Wario/Pac-Man (Smash for 3DS/Wii U)